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Electric Vehicles — briefly, then briefly again · tbb.ceo
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/monthly ·JULY 2026 ·6 MIN READ ·10 STORIES + 11 EXTRAS

The Month the Engine Lost and Washington Sent the Bill

July was the month BYD's lead over Tesla stopped being debatable, combustion-engine sales cratered simultaneously in China, Germany, and the UK, and two of the industry's most stubborn holdouts -- Honda and Toyota -- said the quiet part out loud. Robotaxis picked up real federal approvals and actuarial safety data instead of just demo footage, while Washington moved from subsidizing EVs to taxing them. The bottom line: electrification is winning everywhere except the one major market actively working against it, and the roster of manufacturers still hedging got visibly shorter this month.

01 / The Month

July 2026, ranked

10

BYD dethrones Tesla as the world's largest EV maker

BYD outshipped Tesla in Q2, delivering 557,000 battery-electric vehicles against Tesla's roughly 480,000, powered by an 82.5% jump in overseas deliveries even as domestic growth cooled. The lead held through July, with exports up 95% year-on-year and eight new models unveiled at Goodwood.

Why it mattersPure-BEV manufacturing leadership has passed to a Chinese company for the first time, and BYD's export infrastructure buildout suggests the gap will not close quickly.

Honda abandons the US EV market entirely

Honda opened July apologizing for its first loss in 70 years and canceling the entire 0-series EV lineup; by month's end it discontinued the Prologue, its only American BEV, and told owners to consider gas or hybrid replacements instead.

Why it mattersA mainstream Japanese automaker walking away from EVs altogether, not just missing a target, is starker evidence than any sales miss that hedging on electrification has a real off-ramp.

Toyota concedes it cannot survive without going electric

Toyota's leadership stated publicly that the company cannot sustain itself on traditional vehicle development alone and is betting its future on a next-generation all-electric Corolla built to compete with BYD on cost and volume.

Why it mattersThe automaker that spent years hedging toward hybrids just reversed course in public -- a bigger tell than any quarterly figure.

Volkswagen's paradox: sold-out EVs, 100,000 jobs on the line

VW's ID Polo racked up 25,000 orders within weeks of launch, prompting an even cheaper variant, while the company simultaneously prepared to cut roughly 100,000 jobs and close up to four German factories.

Why it mattersProduct-market fit and a broken cost base coexisted at Europe's largest automaker this month, proof that demand alone does not fix the transition's economics.

Combustion posts its worst month on record

China's ICE sales fell 42% year-on-year as plugin vehicles took a record 63% of the market; Germany saw battery-electrics outsell petrol and diesel combined for the first time; the UK's rolling 12-month EV tally overtook petrol cars too.

Why it mattersThree of the world's most consequential auto markets tipped past the combustion engine within weeks of each other -- a synchronized shift, not a slow decline.

Global EV demand rebounds hard, the US stays the outlier

Global EV sales topped 2 million in a single month for the first time in June, and the IEA later confirmed a 35% Q2 jump with 50 countries setting quarterly records -- even as US BEV sales fell roughly 21-25% year-on-year after the federal tax credit expired.

Why it mattersThe Q1 slowdown looked structural; the global rebound reframes it as seasonal everywhere except the one market that pulled its own incentives.

Washington turns EVs into a line item, not an incentive

Congress advanced a $130 annual federal fee on EV owners to replace lost gas-tax revenue, US EV transaction prices fell for a sixth straight month as manufacturers absorbed the incentive gap themselves, and the number of EV models available to American buyers shrank to a three-year low.

Why it mattersFederal policy shifted this month from encouraging EV adoption to taxing it, right as automakers were already cutting prices to compensate -- a squeeze from both directions at once.

Robotaxis clear real regulatory and safety thresholds

NHTSA gave Zoox the first US approval for paid driverless rides in a vehicle with no steering wheel or pedals; the IIHS published its first independent Waymo safety analysis, finding a 68% lower crash rate than human drivers over 56 million miles; Waymo went fully driverless in Las Vegas and named four more expansion cities.

Why it mattersThis is the month autonomous ride-hailing stopped being a demo and started accumulating federal approvals and actuarial data other cities will now have to reckon with.

Tesla's Q2: record deliveries, a demolished stock, a China question mark

Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles in Q2, beating estimates, yet shares fell over 12% on results day as margins kept sliding and management offered no Robotaxi timeline. By month's end, reports surfaced that Tesla was weighing selling its China operations as part of a potential SpaceX merger.

Why it mattersTesla's valuation has been priced for a robotaxi-and-China future for years; July is when the market started pricing the risk that both legs wobble.

Battery tech and domestic manufacturing take a concrete step

CATL launched a light-commercial battery reaching 80% charge in about seven minutes and expanded its swap network past 7,000 stations; MIT researchers identified and fixed the dendrite-formation mechanism that has been solid-state batteries' most-cited barrier; Hyundai and SK On's $5 billion Georgia gigafactory began cell production.

Why it mattersNone of these individually moves the market overnight, but together they mark the month charging speed, battery chemistry, and domestic cell supply each advanced from roadmap to production.
02 / Also

Worth knowing

11
Polestar posts record global H1 sales while being forced out of the US
Polestar recorded its highest-ever first-half sales globally on European strength, even as it prepares to exit the American market by end of 2027 under a Commerce Department ruling tied to Geely's Chinese ownership.
cleantechnica.com ↗
China mandates physical buttons, reversing the Tesla-led touchscreen trend
Chinese regulators enacted rules requiring physical buttons or knobs for safety-critical functions like hazards and door locks across new models, reversing the touchscreen-first dashboard philosophy Tesla popularized.
electrek.co ↗
UK confirms a per-mile EV tax starting 2028
The Treasury confirmed a new Electric Vehicle Excise Duty from April 2028 -- 3p per mile for BEVs, 1.5p for PHEVs -- replacing the current zero-rate exemption.
thedriven.io ↗
California's new EV rebate exempts in-state makers from Tesla's price cap
SB 168 creates a $3,500 first-time-buyer rebate for EVs under $50,000, but California-headquartered manufacturers like Rivian and Lucid are exempted from that cap.
electrek.co ↗
Hyundai and Kia recall IONIQ 5, EV9 and EV6 over battery fire risk
A battery defect prompted a safety recall across older IONIQ 5, EV9 and EV6 units, with owners advised to park outside and away from structures until repairs are available.
electrek.co ↗
Volvo drops lidar permanently, compensates early buyers
Volvo will not include lidar on the EX90 and ES90 after promising it as a key safety differentiator, paying early customers roughly $1,900 and shifting to a vision-only strategy.
electrek.co ↗
Rivian's turnaround continues: revenue up 27%, record gross profit
Rivian reported Q2 revenue of $1.658 billion, up 27% year-on-year, and record gross profit of $179 million -- its strongest quarter yet and a sign its cost structure is finally inflecting.
electrek.co ↗
Lucid stock crashes 56% on a false bankruptcy report
A report claiming advisers were preparing Chapter 11 options for Lucid's board triggered two trading halts and a steep selloff; the company called the report false, though it followed an 18% layoff earlier in the month.
insideevs.com ↗
A wave of cheaper, longer-range EVs landed in July
Hyundai's IONIQ 3 launched at $30,000 with 300+ miles of range and record buyer interest; Volvo's EX60 delivered a 500-mile top trim; BYD unveiled the $44,000, 626-mile Da Han flagship sedan.
electrek.co ↗
Xpeng's L03 undercuts the Model Y in Germany
Xpeng launched the L03 SUV-coupe in Germany at EUR 34,990, below a comparable Model Y, shipping with Google Maps built in as Chinese brands compete on features as well as price.
electrek.co ↗
Tesla Semi's first fatal crash, and a federal radar-document demand
A Tesla Semi was involved in a fatal collision in Nevada with Autopilot status under investigation, while separately NHTSA formally demanded an internal Tesla document related to the decision to remove radar sensors as part of an FSD manslaughter-crash probe.
electrek.co ↗
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