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Energy Tech — briefly, then briefly again · tbb.ceo
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#004 ·03 JUL 2026 ·FRIDAY ·5 MIN READ ·10 STORIES + 12 EXTRAS

American LFP, European mandates, and the tax credit cliff

The week opened with Ford and Tesla both producing LFP cells on American soil for the first time — on the same day — and closed with the US solar and wind tax credits expiring. In between, the EU adopted a binding 45 GW storage mandate, global BESS shipments hit 320 GWh, and CATL charted a technology roadmap from sodium-ion (now) through solid-state (2030) to lithium-air (long-term). The bottom line: the energy storage buildout crossed from fast to structural this week, driven by mandates, manufacturing commitments, and AI-powered demand — just as the policy framework that got it here began to crack.

01 / The Ten

The week, ranked

10

US solar and wind tax credits expire July 4

The production and investment tax credits for wind and solar, first enacted in 1978 and repeatedly extended, lapse as part of budget reconciliation. Their expiration could raise project financing costs by 20-30% for new contracts absent a replacement.

Why it mattersThese credits drove over $500 billion in US clean energy investment; their expiration without replacement is the most significant US energy policy event of the year.

Ford and Tesla both begin LFP cell production on American soil

Ford started producing LFP cells at BlueOval Battery Park Michigan, the first by a legacy US automaker. Tesla simultaneously began LFP manufacturing at Gigafactory Nevada for Megapack storage. Two American gigafactories producing LFP cells in the same week is a structural signal.

Why it mattersDomestically sourced LFP changes the procurement calculus for utilities, alters tariff exposure, and breaks a Chinese supply-chain dependency that has kept the chemistry off most American EVs.

Global BESS shipments hit 320 GWh in 2025; BYD takes top spot

Battery energy storage system shipments reached 320 GWh globally in 2025, a 50% year-on-year increase, with BYD displacing Korean manufacturers from the top supplier position. No Korean firm appears in the top-10 cell suppliers.

Why it mattersThe cost and supply concentration signals are identical to solar panels a decade ago — utility-scale storage is entering its LCOE collapse phase.

EU adopts binding 45 GW energy storage mandate

EU member states formally adopted a 45 GW energy storage target to reduce gas import exposure — the first binding storage capacity floor the bloc has set. Twenty-two countries signed a tripartite pact committing to remove regulatory barriers and enable non-discriminatory grid tariffs.

Why it mattersA binding EU-level storage floor reshapes procurement incentives for battery manufacturers across 27 national markets simultaneously.

CATL roadmap: sodium-ion in mass production, solid-state not before 2030, lithium-air long-term

CATL confirmed sodium-ion cells have entered mass production and can scale to 100 GWh annual capacity within three to five years. Solid-state sits at step four of nine on its internal readiness scale. The company's chief scientist named lithium-air as the long-term target, citing energy density comparable to gasoline.

Why it mattersCATL setting a public technology direction anchors supply chain investment across the ecosystem; sodium-ion entering mass production is the near-term signal that matters for grid storage procurement.

Renewables cover 57.7% of Germany's electricity in H1 2026

Renewable sources met 57.7% of Germany's electricity demand in the first half of 2026, up from roughly 52% in H1 2025. In April alone, both wind and solar individually outproduced coal.

Why it mattersGermany's energy transition is producing measurable results at grid scale — the debate has shifted from whether it works to how fast.

Europe launches 11 GWh of new BESS construction in a single week

Four independent power producers broke ground on projects totalling 11 GWh across Europe. Scotland added another 3.6 GWh in the same period. The simultaneous launch reflects a maturing project pipeline.

Why it matters11 GWh in a single week signals that grid-scale storage in Europe has crossed from pilot to infrastructure.

1 GW off-grid Australian data centre proposes 16 GWh of co-located battery storage

Energy North submitted an environmental application for a hyperscale data-centre campus in northern Australia designed to operate entirely off-grid, backed by 16 GWh of co-located storage — an unprecedented scale of compute-and-storage integration.

Why it matters16 GWh is roughly ten times larger than the biggest standalone BESS projects in operation; the AI compute buildout is now setting the ceiling for what grid-independent storage looks like.

LG Energy Solution signs $4.3B LFP cell deal with Tesla for Megapack

LG finalised a long-term agreement to supply LFP prismatic cells exclusively for Tesla's Megapack 3 grid storage system, with a dedicated Michigan plant planned.

Why it mattersA multi-billion-dollar committed LFP manufacturing deal signals grid-scale storage supply chains have become long-term capital commitments, not spot-market bets.

Perovskite tandem solar records fall twice in one week

German researchers achieved a verified 25.5% efficiency for a perovskite-CIGS tandem cell, while Trinasolar set a commercial-format record with a perovskite-silicon panel at 907W output and 29.2% conversion efficiency.

Why it mattersEach efficiency record shortens the timeline to modules that generate more electricity per square metre than silicon-only panels at the same cost — now within reach of mainstream manufacturing.
02 / Also

Worth knowing

12
UK Ofgem selects 7.6 GW for long-duration storage cap-and-floor scheme
Sixteen projects shortlisted from 77 applicants, including a fleet of 16-18 hour lithium-ion systems among the longest-duration Li-ion deployments globally.
energy-storage.news ↗
Ore Energy signs Europe's largest iron-air battery deal — 1 GWh in Netherlands
Dutch startup's deal with Budget Thuis begins with 400 MWh delivery by 2028, signalling iron-air technology graduating from pilot to project pipeline.
energylivenews.com ↗
Google and Amazon emissions each up 16-18% on AI data centre buildout
Both companies attributed carbon increases directly to AI workloads, against previous net-zero-by-2030 commitments.
techmeme.com ↗
Joby reaches FAA stage 4; Archer closes phase 3 eVTOL certification
Both air taxi programmes targeting commercial passenger service later in 2026, compressing the remaining runway to months.
jobyaviation.com ↗
US renewables cross 30% of electricity generation for the first time
Wind and solar individually outproduced coal in April; utility-scale solar grew 21.3% year-on-year.
electrek.co ↗
Akaysha Energy's 1,660 MWh BESS goes live in New South Wales
448 Tesla Megapacks, 415 MW, $415 million — Australia's largest operational battery storage system.
energy-storage.news ↗
Sodium-ion projected to reach LFP lifecycle cost parity in 2-3 years
Falling cell costs and improving cycle life rather than chemistry heroics are closing the gap.
energy-storage.news ↗
Scotland adds 3.6 GWh of new battery storage in a single week
ContourGlobal acquired a 2 GWh project while Zenobe and Revera reached FID on 800 MWh each, driven by UK grid balancing needs.
energy-storage.news ↗
Trump administration drafting ban on Chinese solar inverters
Import restrictions citing cybersecurity risks would complicate installations across US residential, commercial, and utility solar markets.
pv-magazine.com ↗
Biwatt launches first sodium-ion residential battery
The PowerNest R5 targets home storage with 8,000-cycle sodium-ion chemistry, where LFP has been essentially unchallenged.
pv-magazine.com ↗
Alsym Energy signs 9 GWh sodium-ion deal for global mining
Sodium-ion validated outside utility-scale grid context — targeting mine-site microgrids where lithium supply risks and extreme temperatures constrain battery adoption.
energy-storage.news ↗
Sicona lands $45M grant for silicon-carbon anode plant in Australia
Commercial-scale facility targeting 230 tonnes per year of anodes delivering 20%+ higher energy density and 40% faster charging versus standard graphite.
arena.gov.au ↗
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